JOBS AND TARIFFS CAUSE A SCARE IS IT TIME NOW FOR THE BEAR

📉 U.S. Job Market:

• July Jobs: +73,000 (below expectations)

• Market Reaction: Mixed, shows slowing job growth, may push Fed to cut rates.

📉 Bond Yields Drop After Weak Jobs Report 💵📉

• U.S. bond yields fell sharply after disappointing job numbers came out (only +73K jobs in July).

• Lower yields = investors expect the Fed to cut interest rates soon to avoid a recession.

• Economic vibe = “soft landing” or slow down incoming.

🏦 Trump x Big Banks — Plotting a Mortgage Power Move 💼🏠

What’s Going On:

• President Trump is personally meeting with big bank CEOs (like JPMorgan’s Jamie Dimon and Goldman Sachs’ David Solomon).

• Topic: How to “monetize” Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac — the two huge government-backed mortgage companies.

• Ideas on the table include a massive public stock offering (IPO) to turn them more private again.

• Bank CEOs could profit big from helping manage or fund these deals.

Why It Matters:

• This could shake up the housing market — potentially higher mortgage rates or tighter credit rules.

• For banks, it’s a business opportunity; for everyday people, it could mean changes to home loan availability.

• Wall Street’s watching 👀 closely — and banks are getting VIP invites to the money table.

🌍 Trump’s New Tariffs:

• More countries hit with high tariffs, markets fell sharply on fears of global trade slowdown.

👋 Ray Dalio Leaves Bridgewater:

• Billionaire investor Ray Dalio sold his last stake and stepped away from the hedge fund’s board.

• Big shift — Bridgewater now under new leadership.

🍏 Apple (AAPL)

• Q3 Earnings: Beat expectations 💰

  • Revenue: ✅ | EPS: ✅ | iPhone sales 🔥

  • Highest revenue growth since 2021!

• Stock Reaction: Up ~3% 📈

• Future Outlook: Strong focus on AI, services (like iCloud, Apple Pay).

• Fundamentals:

  • P/E ~30× | Dividend ~0.5% | Margin ~25%

• Analyst Rating: Buy 💎 | PT ~$230

• Big Investors: Berkshire Hathaway, Vanguard

🛒 Amazon (AMZN)

• Q2 Earnings: Beat! 💸 — AWS (cloud) rebounded, ads up

• Stock Reaction: Up ~5% 🚀

• Future Outlook: More AI tools, faster Prime delivery

• Fundamentals:

  • P/E ~60× | No dividend | Profit margin ~6%

• Analyst Rating: Strong Buy | PT ~$200

• Big Investors: Vanguard, T. Rowe Price

🛢 Chevron (CVX)

• Q2: Beat estimates ⛽ — record production

• Stock Reaction: Flat/slightly up 📊

• Outlook: Cautious due to energy price swings

• Fundamentals:

  • P/E ~10× | Dividend ~4% | Debt low

• Analyst Rating: Hold | PT ~$180

• Big Investors: Berkshire Hathaway, BlackRock

🛢 Exxon Mobil (XOM)

• Q2: Beat estimates 🛢 — steady oil/gas production

• Stock Reaction: Flat 📉

• Outlook: Steady cash flow, strong dividend

• Fundamentals:

  • P/E ~9× | Dividend ~3.5% | Low debt

• Analyst Rating: Hold | PT ~$120

• Big Investors: Vanguard, State Street

🦷 Colgate-Palmolive (CL)

• Q2: Met earnings, revenue slightly up 🧼

• Stock Reaction: Flat 📉

• Outlook: Steady sales, defensive play

• Fundamentals:

  • P/E ~25× | Dividend ~2% | Profit margin ~15%

• Analyst Rating: Hold | PT ~$90

• Big Investors: BlackRock, Vanguard

🪙 Coinbase (COIN)

• Q2: Missed expectations ❌ — lower crypto trading volume

• Stock Reaction: Down ~7% 📉

• Outlook: Volatile, depends on crypto demand

• Fundamentals:

  • P/S ~6× | No earnings | No dividend

• Analyst Rating: Speculative Hold | PT ~$150

• Big Investors: ARK Invest, Vanguard