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IF YOUR EARNINGS ARE MISSED INVESTORS WILL BE PISSED

Updated: Jul 29


📦 Waste Management (WM)

  • Q2 results: Adjusted EPS $1.92 vs. ~$1.89 estimate; Revenue $6.43 B vs. ~$6.36 B expected—both slightly beat expectations 📈 

  • Price target: Average ~$252.60, vs. recent share price near $229–230  .

  • Multi-year stock performance: Stable utility-like performer; modest growth, low volatility.

  • Analyst view: Generally positive, BUY or HOLD, due to consistent earnings surprises.

  • Key fundamentals (approximate, based on typical WM data):

    • P/E: ~22–24×

    • EPS (trailing): around $8

    • P/B: ~4×; P/S: ~3×

    • Dividend yield: ~1.7%; payout ratio: ~30–40%

    • Debt/Equity: moderately high (~1.0)

    • Profit margin: ~10–12%

    • Free cash flow yield: decent steady stream



🧴 Procter & Gamble (PG)

  • Q2 results: Sales $21.88 B beat ~$21.6–21.9 B estimates; Core EPS ~$1.84–1.88 vs. ~$1.60 expected—solid beat 🤩 .

  • Price targets: Average ~$174, with range from $152 to $186; current trading around $155 

  • Stock performance: Steady long-term grower with dividend reputation; moderate total returns.

  • Analyst view: Consensus is Overweight / Buy—steady consumer staples demand, resilience.

  • Key fundamentals:

    • P/E: ~23–25×

    • EPS (trailing): ~$6.5–7

    • P/B: ~7×; P/S: ~3×

    • Dividend yield: ~2.5%; payout ratio: ~60%

    • Debt/Equity: ~0.5–0.7

    • Profit margin: ~18–20%

    • Free cash flow yield: strong, supports dividends and buybacks


🏥 UnitedHealth Group (UNH)

  • Q2 results: Adjusted EPS ~$4.06 (vs. ~$4.64 expected); Revenue $111.6 B slightly below ~$111.9 B forecast—miss 😬 

  • Outlook cut: Full-year EPS now expected at ≥ $16 vs. prior guide up to ~$30 → investors unhappy

  • Stock trend: Shares hit 5-year low and down ~44–50% in 2025 YTD

  • Analyst price targets/rating:

    • Still majority Buy / Strong Buy, average 12‑month targets ~$595–$630 

    • Others note caution: average targets have ranged lower (~$358) 

  • Analysts summary: Bullish long‑term on fundamentals; short‑term cautious due to cost headwinds.

  • Fundamentals (approximate typical for UNH):

    • P/E: ~18–20×

    • EPS (trailing): ~14–15

    • P/B: ~4×; P/S: ~0.8×

    • Dividend yield: ~1.5%; payout ratio: ~25%

    • Debt/Equity: ~0.6

    • Profit margin: ~6‑7%

    • Free cash flow: robust but pressured by rising healthcare costs



✈️ Boeing (BA)

  • Q2 results (ended June 30, 2025): GAAP loss $0.92/share; adjusted loss ~$1.24 vs. expected $1.54—so outperformed earnings expectations. Revenue $22.75 B beat estimates ($21.86 B) thanks to 150 commercial deliveries vs. 92 a year ago 🛫  .

  • Stock action: Up ~33% in 2025, recouping earlier losses; modest dip immediately after results 

  • Analyst sentiment: Mixed—some call Boeing recovery is ahead of schedule; others warn about labor risk, FAA safety oversight delays 

  • Outlook:

    • Near term: cautious; big risks around union strike and regulation.

    • Medium to long term: moderate optimism due to backlog (~$619 B) and delivery ramp-up.

  • Fundamental metrics:

    • P/E: negative (loss in trailing earnings)

    • Forward P/E: perhaps ~20–25× if profitable outlook

    • Debt/Equity: high (~5+ due to capital-intensive business)

    • Profit margin: negative currently, improving gradually

    • Free cash flow: recently ~–$200 M vs –$4.3 B prior year

    • No dividend currently


🎵 Spotify (SPOT)

  • Q2 results: Premium subscribers added ~8 million (total ~276 M), MAUs ~696 M—user growth beat. But posted a loss of $0.48/share vs profit expected ($2.29/share); Revenue $4.75 B missing ~$5 B expectation—big earnings & revenue miss 😢 

  • Q3 guidance: Revenue projected ~$4.86 B vs consensus ~$5.25 B—again lower guidance  .

  • Stock reaction: Shares fell ~7% pre-market after results.

  • Analyst view: Mixed—bullish on subscribers, but bearish on profitability and margin pressure.

  • Fundamentals (latest typical):

    • P/E: negative (still loss‑making)

    • P/S: ~3×

    • Free cash flow: weak

    • Debt/Equity: moderate

    • Profit margin: negative; focus is on scaling subscriber base


🚚 UPS (UPS)

  • Q2 2025: Adjusted EPS $1.55/share vs. consensus $1.56 → slight miss; revenue ~$21.2 B vs. ~$20.9 B estimated (beating revenue a bit)

  • Market reaction: Stock fell ~9.5% on report; YTD down ~20%

  • Analyst views: Mixed – Bernstein says Buy with $133 target; Evercore ISI downgraded to Hold, warning of margin pressure

  • Recent trend: Returned +0.5% past month, but weaker volumes, domestic volume down ~7% YOY

  • Fundamentals (approximate typical for UPS):

    • P/E: ~18–20×

    • EPS (trailing adjusted): ~$6* (4 qtrs × $1.55 approx)

    • P/S: ~1×

    • Dividend yield: ~4–5% (“rock solid” €5.5 B annual) payout backed by ~$4.5 B expected free cash flow

    • Debt/Equity: moderate (~1)

    • Operating margin: ~8.8%

    • Free cash flow: negative this quarter due to timing issues, but healthy annually

  • Rating: Hold to Weak Buy; near‑term bearish/mid‑term cautious, long‑term defensive income play.


🧺 Whirlpool (WHR)

  • Q2: Adjusted EPS $1.34/share vs. $1.68 expected → big miss, sales $3.77 B vs. $3.85 B estimated → revenue miss ~5% decline YOY

  • Actions: Cut dividend from $1.75 to $0.90, lowered full-year adjusted EPS to $6–8 (vs. previous ~$10)

  • Stock: Down 12% on release, underperforming the S&P 500 YTD (+9%)

  • Analysts: Concerned about import stockpiling from Asian rivals ahead of tariffs; cost controls underway

  • Fundamentals:

    • P/E: ~10–12× based on new lower EPS

    • EPS (adj trailing): ~$12.21 in 2024; 2025 ongoing guidance ~$10 estimated

    • P/S: ~0.7×–1×

    • Dividend yield: now ~1–2% (cut)

    • Debt/Equity: moderate

    • EBIT margin: ~5–6% ongoing guidance

    • Free cash flow: projected $500–600 M in 2025

  • Rating: Defensive—Hold or cautious low Buy, short‑term bearish, long‑term mixed recovery if tariffs stabilize.


💊 Novo Nordisk (NVO)

  • Reaction: Shares plunged ~21–23% after cutting full-year 2025 sales growth to 8‑14% (from 13‑21%) and profit growth to 10‑16% (from 16‑24%) due to competitive pressure from Eli Lilly and copycat drugs

  • Leadership: New CEO Maziar Mike Doustdar appointed to counter U.S. competition

  • Analysts: Mixed; some say drop is overreaction given pipeline potential; others bearish on long‑term growth prospects amid pricing conflicts

  • Fundamentals:

    • P/E: ~25–30× before plunge, now ~15–20× adjusted

    • EPS trailing: robust; dividend yield ~3%

    • Debt/Equity: low (~0.3)

    • Profit margin: ~30‑35% pre‑guidance cut

    • P/S: ~6–8×

  • Rating: Short‑term bearish; mid‑term cautious; long‑term depends on legal/regulatory wins—Hold or Weak Buy at deep discount.


🧠 Bottom Line for Young Investors:


  • Waste Management & P&G are stable, dividend‑paying, everyday giants. Good if you want less risk and steady returns.

  • UnitedHealth has serious cost issues hitting near‑term performance, but remains a long‑term play if healthcare stabilizes.

  • Boeing is still recovering—if you’re ok with volatility and a roller‑coaster path, it might rebound as deliveries ramp up.

  • Spotify is growing subscribers nicely, but still not turning a profit—best suited for high‑risk, high‑growth investors

  • UPS = safe-ish but boring income play

  • Whirlpool = cheap but risky turnaround story

  • Novo Nordisk = strong biz hit by big sell-off, long-term potential





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