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BEATING EXPECTATIONS IS NOT ENOUGH YOUR FUTURE MUST NOT LOOK TOO TOUGH


šŸ“Š Alphabet (GOOGL) +.95%

šŸ’„ Q2 Beat: EPS $2.31 vs. est. $2.16; revenue $96.4B vs. $93.7B

šŸ“ˆ Ratios & Reaction: Trading near ~25Ɨ forward P/E, has been underperforming recently due to AI but Waymo may aid the company’s come back and legal issues should be resolved soon

🧠 Analyst View: Strong cloud + ad momentum; median target $140–150. Buy/Hold.


šŸš— Tesla (TSLA) -8%

šŸ“‰ Mixed Q2: EPS $0.40 (vs. $0.42 est.), revenue down 12% YoY to $22.5B

āš ļø Delivery Drop: -14% units (~384K cars)Ā  ; after-hours stock fell ~5–10%

šŸ“Œ Tech Pivot: Musk highlights robotaxis & Optimus robots. Analysts disagree: mixed ā€œHoldā€ with ~$310 avg. target

šŸ‘¤ Verdict: Hold—long-term innovation offsetting short-term RPM headwinds.


šŸ“±T‑Mobile (TMUS) +7%

āœ… Q2 Beat: EPS $2.84 vs. $2.69 est.; revenue $20.97B (+6%)

šŸ“ˆ Metrics: Added +830K postpaid phone subs (+7% YoY)

🧠 Analyst Take: Buy—strong wireless growth, fiber ramped in future.


šŸ¤– IBM -9% (+16% YTD that’s 2x VOO)

šŸ’„ Q2 Smash: EPS $2.80 vs. $2.65 est.; revenue $17B vs. $16.6B. Operating margin up ~320 bps

šŸ“Š Ratios: P/E ~18, FCF healthy at $2.8B

šŸ“Œ Verdict: Buy/Hold—solid hybrid cloud & AI demand.


ā˜ļø ServiceNow (NOW) +4.5%

šŸš€ Q2 Beat: EPS $4.09 vs. $3.57 est.; rev $3.22B vs. $3.12B (+21% subscription growth)

šŸ“ˆ Price Action: 52‑wk range $678–$1,198; avg target ~$1,099

🧠 Analyst Outlook: Strong Buy—AI-fueled growth, tight margins.


šŸ­ Honeywell (HON) -5%

āœ… Q2 Beat: EPS $2.49 vs. $2.42 est.; rev $9.6B (+5%)

šŸ“‰ Reaction: Pre-market dip but fundamentals solid.

šŸ“Œ Metrics: Industrial + aerospace strength; trading ~22Ɨ P/E.

🧠 Analyst Take: Buy—consistent surprises, outlook upgradedĀ 


🚚 Union Pacific (UNP) -1.75%

šŸ“ˆ Q2 Beat: Profit $1.8B; EPS ~$2.74

šŸ“Š Ratios & Techs: Forward P/E ~17.4, P/B ~8.4; price down ~1% on lukewarm volume

🧠 Analyst Verdict: Hold—steady earnings, merger chatter buoying sentimentĀ 


šŸ¦ Blackstone (BX)

šŸ’„ Q2 Beat: EPS $1.19 vs. est. $1.10, AUM hits record $1.2 T with $52 B inflows ļæ¼ ļæ¼

šŸ“Š Fundamentals & Ratios: Forward P/E ~17–18, dividend yield ~2.3%, strong free cash flow supported by private credit lifts ļæ¼

šŸ“ˆ Price Reaction: Shares +1–4% post-earnings on fundamentals + 401(k) access optimism ļæ¼

šŸ“Œ Analyst Verdict: Buy/Hold—confidence in durable fee revenues and huge AUM growth; target ~$180–185.


🌯 Chipotle (CMG)

šŸ“‰ Q2 Results: Same-store sales dropped 4% vs. –2.9% est.; EPS 33Ā¢ inline, revenue $3.1 B (+3%) ļæ¼ ļæ¼

šŸ” Ratios & Margins: Forward P/E ~46–47, far above peers (McD ~26Ɨ); margins dipped slightly ļæ¼

šŸ“Š Price Drop: Shares plunged ~10% after-hours ļæ¼

🧠 Analyst View: Overweight/Outperform rating by BMO; target ~$65. Analysts highlight price sensitivity, tariff impacts, and need for new menu catalysts like honey chicken

šŸ“Œ Callouts: High valuation not justified by current consumer slowdown. Watch consumer sentiment and comps rebounding.


šŸ“‰ Jobless Claims

U.S. weekly claims dropped to a 3‑month low at 217K (est. 226K)Ā  —signaling labor-market resilience despite slower hiring.

āœ… Implication: Economy’s recovery intact, but Fed may delay rate cuts—likely hold rates between 4.25–4.50% until more data arrives.


🧭 TL;DR Market Mood


Winners: Big Tech (Alphabet, ServiceNow, IBM) & industrials (Honeywell, Union Pacific) showing strong beats and solid target upgrades.

Blackstone is firing on all cylinders—record inflows, expanding private credit reach, and dividend growth make it a strong pick. T‑Mobile riding subscriber growth


Mixed Bag: Tesla balancing rough Q2 with long-term tech pivot; Chipotle is facing short-term headwinds with consumer belt-tightening. Analysts see potential upside, but only after the dust settles.


Macro Signal: Labor strength cuts case for imminent Fed cuts, keeping rates sticky.

Sentiment: Analysts leaning Buy/Hold for most fundamentals‑driven beats; caution on policy‑sensitive names as macro remains steady.


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