BEATING EXPECTATIONS IS NOT ENOUGH YOUR FUTURE MUST NOT LOOK TOO TOUGH
- Mr. Bullish

- Jul 24
- 3 min read
š Alphabet (GOOGL) +.95%
š„ Q2 Beat: EPS $2.31 vs. est. $2.16; revenue $96.4B vs. $93.7B
š Ratios & Reaction: Trading near ~25Ć forward P/E, has been underperforming recently due to AI but Waymo may aid the companyās come back and legal issues should be resolved soon
š§ Analyst View: Strong cloud + ad momentum; median target $140ā150. Buy/Hold.
š Tesla (TSLA) -8%
š Mixed Q2: EPS $0.40 (vs. $0.42 est.), revenue down 12% YoY to $22.5B
ā ļø Delivery Drop: -14% units (~384K cars)Ā ; after-hours stock fell ~5ā10%
š Tech Pivot: Musk highlights robotaxis & Optimus robots. Analysts disagree: mixed āHoldā with ~$310 avg. target
š¤ Verdict: Holdālong-term innovation offsetting short-term RPM headwinds.
š±TāMobile (TMUS) +7%
ā Q2 Beat: EPS $2.84 vs. $2.69 est.; revenue $20.97B (+6%)
š Metrics: Added +830K postpaid phone subs (+7% YoY)
š§ Analyst Take: Buyāstrong wireless growth, fiber ramped in future.
š¤ IBM -9% (+16% YTD thatās 2x VOO)
š„ Q2 Smash: EPS $2.80 vs. $2.65 est.; revenue $17B vs. $16.6B. Operating margin up ~320 bps
š Ratios: P/E ~18, FCF healthy at $2.8B
š Verdict: Buy/Holdāsolid hybrid cloud & AI demand.
āļø ServiceNow (NOW) +4.5%
š Q2 Beat: EPS $4.09 vs. $3.57 est.; rev $3.22B vs. $3.12B (+21% subscription growth)
š Price Action: 52āwk range $678ā$1,198; avg target ~$1,099
š§ Analyst Outlook: Strong BuyāAI-fueled growth, tight margins.
š Honeywell (HON) -5%
ā Q2 Beat: EPS $2.49 vs. $2.42 est.; rev $9.6B (+5%)
š Reaction: Pre-market dip but fundamentals solid.
š Metrics: Industrial + aerospace strength; trading ~22Ć P/E.
š§ Analyst Take: Buyāconsistent surprises, outlook upgradedĀ
š Union Pacific (UNP) -1.75%
š Q2 Beat: Profit $1.8B; EPS ~$2.74
š Ratios & Techs: Forward P/E ~17.4, P/B ~8.4; price down ~1% on lukewarm volume
š§ Analyst Verdict: Holdāsteady earnings, merger chatter buoying sentimentĀ
š¦ Blackstone (BX)
š„ Q2 Beat: EPS $1.19 vs. est. $1.10, AUM hits record $1.2āÆT with $52āÆB inflows ļæ¼ ļæ¼
š Fundamentals & Ratios: Forward P/E ~17ā18, dividend yield ~2.3%, strong free cash flow supported by private credit lifts ļæ¼
š Price Reaction: Shares +1ā4% post-earnings on fundamentals + 401(k) access optimism ļæ¼
š Analyst Verdict: Buy/Holdāconfidence in durable fee revenues and huge AUM growth; target ~$180ā185.
šÆ Chipotle (CMG)
š Q2 Results: Same-store sales dropped 4% vs. ā2.9% est.; EPS 33Ā¢ inline, revenue $3.1āÆB (+3%) ļæ¼ ļæ¼
š Ratios & Margins: Forward P/E ~46ā47, far above peers (McD ~26Ć); margins dipped slightly ļæ¼
š Price Drop: Shares plunged ~10% after-hours ļæ¼
š§ Analyst View: Overweight/Outperform rating by BMO; target ~$65. Analysts highlight price sensitivity, tariff impacts, and need for new menu catalysts like honey chicken
š Callouts: High valuation not justified by current consumer slowdown. Watch consumer sentiment and comps rebounding.
š Jobless Claims
U.S. weekly claims dropped to a 3āmonth low at 217K (est. 226K)Ā āsignaling labor-market resilience despite slower hiring.
ā Implication: Economyās recovery intact, but Fed may delay rate cutsālikely hold rates between 4.25ā4.50% until more data arrives.
š§ TL;DR Market Mood
Winners: Big Tech (Alphabet, ServiceNow, IBM) & industrials (Honeywell, Union Pacific) showing strong beats and solid target upgrades.
Blackstone is firing on all cylindersārecord inflows, expanding private credit reach, and dividend growth make it a strong pick. TāMobile riding subscriber growth
Mixed Bag: Tesla balancing rough Q2 with long-term tech pivot; Chipotle is facing short-term headwinds with consumer belt-tightening. Analysts see potential upside, but only after the dust settles.
Macro Signal: Labor strength cuts case for imminent Fed cuts, keeping rates sticky.
Sentiment: Analysts leaning Buy/Hold for most fundamentalsādriven beats; caution on policyāsensitive names as macro remains steady.










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